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EGemini cross-check of the Qwen3-8B judge

The sentiment, refusal, and backtracking evaluations in §4 are graded by a Qwen3-8B judge with reasoning disabled. While we have not validated this judge against human raters, we re-judged a stratified sample of the responses that drive the figures with Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite Preview and measured per-response agreement.

Setup.

We draw a stratified sample of 200 paired records per (checkpoint, evaluation) cell, uniformly over (condition, concept, α\alpha⁠, prompt, repetition) within the cell. The sample covers all ten sweep checkpoints, all conditions (steering the maze-trained and maze-naive models), and both vMold\Vmold and vGold\Vgold⁠. The total is 6,000 paired records (2,000 per evaluation).

Agreement.

Table 12 reports per-evaluation agreement under the metric for each task. We report the equal-checkpoint stratified mean (every checkpoint weighted equally; the population-weighted alternative agrees within 0.7 percentage points across all three rows). “nn usable” counts pairs where both judges parsed successfully. For refusal we report the binarized refused / not-refused signal (refused == direct \cup indirect refusal, with pairs where either judge labeled the response nonsensical dropped); this binarization is what the figures plot.

Evaluation nn usable Agreement (95% CI) Cohen’s κ\kappa Supplementary
Sentiment (5..+5-5..+5⁠) 1,999 62.6% [60.5,64.760.5, 64.7⁠] 0.692 (lin-w) ±1\pm 1 tol. 87.6%⁠; Pearson r=0.83r{=}0.83⁠; MAE 0.57
Refusal (binary) 1,548 93.3% [92.0,94.692.0, 94.6⁠] 0.868 4-class agreement 67.4%⁠, κ=0.57\kappa{=}0.57
Backtracking (3-cl.) 1,962 82.3% [80.6,83.980.6, 83.9⁠] 0.681 Within Qwen-positive: 179/181179/181 (98.9%⁠)
Table 12. Qwen3-8B vs. Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite Preview judge agreement on 6,000 paired records sampled from the assistant-turn-only steering files. Headline numbers are equal-checkpoint stratified means; intervals are Wilson 95% CIs.
Where disagreement clusters.

Sentiment exact-match is low, but most disagreements are ±1\pm 1 shifts of degree, not sign reversals. Pre-binarization four-class refusal agreement is only 67%⁠, and almost the entire gap is the direct-refusal vs. indirect-refusal cell, which is finer than the binary signal that the figures plot. Backtracking residual disagreement clusters on the boundary between the nonsensical and backtracking classes.

We take this as evidence that the steering effects in §4 are not artifacts of the Qwen3-8B judge specifically.